In this lesson, students will begin to work on the NetLogo Model. There are questions, and activities that require Scientific and Computational thinking.  Students will use the NetLogo Model to make predictions and to test their predictions. Then students will revise their questions and hypotheses, perform experiments, and answer further questions. Students will be trying to discover how to use a computational model to explain and predict.

For our purposes, we will use statistics from the Diamond Princess Cruise ship which was quarantined for 2 weeks in Yokohama, Japan starting February 5, 2020, when a passenger tested positive for a severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SARS-CoV-2 known as COVID-19.  Kenji Mizumoto, Katsushi Kagaya, Alexander Zarebski, and  Gerardo Chowell created a statistical model to analyze the number of cases compared to the number of positive test results and within that figure the number of symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals. Of the 634 confirmed cases, a total of 306 and 328 were reported to be symptomatic and asymptomatic.  This led us to create an infection model where 50% of the infected people show no symptoms or are asymptomatic and 50% of infected individuals show symptoms or are considered symptomatic.  
Mizumoto Kenji , Kagaya Katsushi , Zarebski Alexander & Chowell Gerardo . Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020. Euro Surveill. 2020;25(10):pii=2000180. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917. ES.2020.25.10.2000180